'31 Shootings Every Day'
Media Narrative Collapses Under Easy Scrutiny

A recent news headline declared, "11,500 shootings occurred within 500 yards of US schools last year." The obvious implication is that American school children are under daily fire on school campuses nationwide. But, as with most gun control narratives in national media written by reporters who mostly don't understand the basics of firearms or criminal gun use, that narrative collapses under the slightest scrutiny.

The first glaring red flag in this story is that Hearst Television Data Visualization Journalist Susie Webb and the WCVB Get the Facts Data Team built their agenda-driven narrative by relying on gun control advocacy site The Trace's "School-Adjacent Shootings" dataset, which tracks Gun Violence Archive (GVA) incidents that fell within 500 yards of a K-12 school. Even that dataset warns that each row is a shooting-to-school match and must be deduplicated before anyone totals up the incidents, deaths or injuries. However, that was not done before Webb and WVTM's story went live on several news outlets, on social media, on Hearst Television's YouTube channel and was even—unsurprisingly—picked up by MSN.

This blatant error is not a trivial methodological footnote. It is the difference between measuring school-related crime and measuring a broad circle on a map. It's also a trick that's been seen time and again from the likes of Everytown's propagandist at The Trace and GVA. …